Tuesday, September 10, 2019

Week 9 CFP Rankings 2018

The first CFP rankings came out in week 9 of the 2018 season and they were as follows,

1University of Alabama8-0
2Clemson University8-0
3Louisiana State University7-1
4University of Notre Dame8-0
5University of Michigan7-1
6University of Georgia7-1
7University of Oklahoma7-1
8Washington State University7-1
9University of Kentucky7-1
10Ohio State University7-1
11University of Florida6-2
12University of Central Florida7-0
13West Virginia University6-1
14Penn State University6-2
15University of Utah6-2
16University of Iowa6-2
17University of Texas6-2
18Mississippi State University5-3
19Syracuse University6-2
20Texas A&M University5-3
21North Carolina State University5-2
22Boston College6-2
23Fresno State7-1
24Iowa State University4-3
25University of Virginia6-2

At this point with Clemson's remaining schedule they were a shoe in, Alabama was headed to #4 LSU the following week and the thought was if they won that game they were more or less a lock for the CFP, so in late October there's already only 2 CFP spots left and as history shows if you have 2 losses your season is already over. Outside of Bama and Clemson there remained 9 Power 5 teams with 1 loss or less. UCF was undefeated but under the current system no G5 team has ever made the CFP and never will unless it's expanded. So again, by late October of the 130 FBS teams, only 9 are playing meaningful games. 

Those 9 teams were LSU, Notre Dame, Michigan, Georgia, Oklahoma, Washington State, Kentucky, Ohio State and West Virginia. 

LSU played Bama 
ND played Northwestern 
Michigan played Penn State 
Georgia played Kentucky in a CFP elimination game in week 9 
Oklahoma played Texas Tech
Washington State played Cal 
Ohio State played Nebraska 
West Virginia played Texas 

In week 9, the first week in November, these were the only games that had an implications in the college football world because of the fact that the playoff as it stands is a paltry 4 teams. 

If the playoff was moved up to 12 teams then P5 teams with 2 losses or less remain squarely alive and in some cases depending on performance and strength of schedule teams with 3 losses or less may hold onto hope as well. G5 teams with 1 loss or less on the cusp of the top 25 also have hope in this circumstance. With these teams on the bubble their 4 games to close out the year are all now effectively playoff games. 

Across the nation, fan bases are excited, teams are alive and playing with juice now knowing that, this could be their year. This could be the year they make it into the CFP and have a chance to make some noise. Under a 12 team playoff in week 9 rather than have 9 teams playing meaningful games, you would now have 25-30 teams hoping they can run the table and launch themselves into the top 12. Here's what's interesting about that. In the past decade there have only been 3 teams in the P5 to not crack the top 25, Wake Forest, Indiana, Purdue. With that said in theory only 3 P5 teams over the past decade wouldn't have had a single season where they thought they had a chance at the CFP. Imagine the excitement and parity this could create? 

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